#GBPJPY β We Continue π
After publishing our forecast, we also traded it on one of our manual reserve accounts.
As expected, GBPJPY remains one of the most volatile currency pairs.
So far, the total profit is already more than three times larger than the combined exposure of our last three open positions.
Should we close everything?
No.
A year ago, we probably would have.
Back then, we thought the way most traders do.
There was always that little voice in the back of our minds:
"Maybe the AI was wrong... Maybe the algorithm missed something... If we don't close now, the market will keep running against us and we'll regret it."
So we often closed trades once the profit reached two or three times the current exposure.
It felt like a lucky bonus.
Today, we think differently.
Luck?
Not really.
When you see the same statistical behavior repeated over and over again, it stops feeling like luck.
It becomes something you can measure.
So this time, we're simply waiting.
And honestly...
It's interesting to watch. π
There is something else we realized during this journey.
In the beginning, every position came with anxiety.
"This time must be different."
"This is probably the trade where everything goes wrong."
"We need to react immediately."
But once again...
The same story unfolded.
Then again.
And again.
Over time, that changed us.
Perhaps the most important lesson is this.
If your forecast is fundamentally correct, then you shouldn't suddenly see winter arriving in the middle of July. βοΈβοΈ
There may be deviations.
There may be noise.
There may be temporary moves against the position.
But there should not be a completely irrational outcome.
Predicting a sunny July day and getting a snowstorm insteadβthat would mean the forecast itself was fundamentally wrong.
So far, we simply haven't observed that.
This is exactly the hypothesis we continue to test.
Can a fundamentally correct forecast still produce a fundamentally irrational outcome?
So far...
Our answer remains the same.
No. π
